Demo data

Ethereum price forecast

ETH/USD — US dollars per ether

Probability estimates for where the ETH/USD price will be on specific future dates, from two AI models, a statistical reference and matching prediction markets where they exist.

Reference price
$3,000 US dollars per ether
Observed
31 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC
Latest forecasts published
31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

Choose a target date

Every preset is a month-end date. The date shown is the one the forecast is about.

AI average — uncalibrated · ±1% · ±5% · ±10% · ±50%

Price on 31 Dec 2026

Fresh
Movement threshold
1% — see every threshold 5% — see every threshold 10% — see every threshold 50% — see every threshold
Down 1% or more
45%
$2,970 or lower
Between ±1%
2%
$2,970 to $3,030
Up 1% or more
53%
$3,030 or higher

Down 45%, within 2%, up 53%.

Down 5% or more
41%
$2,850 or lower
Between ±5%
11%
$2,850 to $3,150
Up 5% or more
48%
$3,150 or higher

Down 41%, within 11%, up 48%.

Down 10% or more
35%
$2,700 or lower
Between ±10%
22%
$2,700 to $3,300
Up 10% or more
43%
$3,300 or higher

Down 35%, within 22%, up 43%.

Down 50% or more
3%
$1,500 or lower
Between ±50%
82%
$1,500 to $4,500
Up 50% or more
15%
$4,500 or higher

Down 3%, within 82%, up 15%.

Default threshold ±10% for crypto. The forecast page has all four thresholds, source comparison and evidence.

Open the forecast for 31 Dec 2026

/crypto/eth-usd/forecast/2026-12-31/

All four thresholds · 31 Dec 2026 · AI average
ThresholdDownWithinUp
±1% 45% 2% 53%
±5% 41% 11% 48%
±10% 35% 22% 43%
±50% 3% 82% 15%

Published forecast dates

Each date has its own page and address. Shown at ±1%±5%±10%±50%.

  • End of this month

    31 Oct 2026

    Down 46% · Within 18% · Up 36%

    Down 46%, within 18%, up 36%.

    Down 16% · Within 72% · Up 12%

    Down 16%, within 72%, up 12%.

    Down 3% · Within 95% · Up 2%

    Down 3%, within 95%, up 2%.

    Down <0.1% · Within >99.9% · Up <0.1%

    Down <0.1%, within >99.9%, up <0.1%.

    Published 31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

  • End of next month

    30 Nov 2026

    Down 51% · Within 3% · Up 46%

    Down 51%, within 3%, up 46%.

    Down 44% · Within 16% · Up 40%

    Down 44%, within 16%, up 40%.

    Down 35% · Within 32% · Up 33%

    Down 35%, within 32%, up 33%.

    Down 1% · Within 93% · Up 6%

    Down 1%, within 93%, up 6%.

    Published 31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

  • End of year

    31 Dec 2026

    Down 45% · Within 2% · Up 53%

    Down 45%, within 2%, up 53%.

    Down 41% · Within 11% · Up 48%

    Down 41%, within 11%, up 48%.

    Down 35% · Within 22% · Up 43%

    Down 35%, within 22%, up 43%.

    Down 3% · Within 82% · Up 15%

    Down 3%, within 82%, up 15%.

    Published 31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

  • 3 months (month-end)

    31 Jan 2027

    Down 54% · Within 2% · Up 44%

    Down 54%, within 2%, up 44%.

    Down 50% · Within 9% · Up 41%

    Down 50%, within 9%, up 41%.

    Down 45% · Within 18% · Up 37%

    Down 45%, within 18%, up 37%.

    Down 8% · Within 77% · Up 15%

    Down 8%, within 77%, up 15%.

    Published 31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

  • 6 months (month-end)

    30 Apr 2027

    Down 53% · Within 1% · Up 46%

    Down 53%, within 1%, up 46%.

    Down 50% · Within 7% · Up 43%

    Down 50%, within 7%, up 43%.

    Down 47% · Within 13% · Up 40%

    Down 47%, within 13%, up 40%.

    Down 15% · Within 62% · Up 23%

    Down 15%, within 62%, up 23%.

    Published 31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

12 months (month-end) · 31 Oct 2027 — scheduled, not yet generated.

What the models cite for ethereum

Recurring drivers across the published dates. Each forecast page lists its own cited evidence.

  • Spot ETF demand Model inference

    Points higher · cited for all 5 dates. Sources 1

  • Tighter financial conditions Model inference

    Points lower · cited for all 5 dates. Sources 3

  • Regulatory setback Model inference

    Points lower · cited for all 5 dates. Sources 4

Source coverage

What is available for ETH/USD right now.

Source coverage for ETH/USD
SourceStatusNotes
OpenAI Fresh All 5 dates
Claude Fresh All 5 dates
Statistical reference Fresh Synthetic fixture in this prototype
Prediction markets No matching market No exact or related contract for any date

Recent settled forecasts

2 settled so far — far too few to judge skill. Shown at ±1%±5%±10%±50%.

  • 30 Sep 2026 Actual +5.17% from $2,900

    Forecast 50% / 2% / 48% · Up 1% or more · Brier 0.528

    Forecast 46% / 11% / 43% · Up 5% or more · Brier 0.543

    Forecast 39% / 23% / 38% · Between −10% and +10% · Brier 0.900

    Forecast 4% / 84% / 12% · Between −50% and +50% · Brier 0.043

  • 31 Aug 2026 Actual −11.72% from $2,900

    Forecast 48% / 3% / 49% · Down 1% or more · Brier 0.517

    Forecast 41% / 16% / 43% · Down 5% or more · Brier 0.556

    Forecast 33% / 31% / 36% · Down 10% or more · Brier 0.672

    Forecast 1% / 92% / 7% · Between −50% and +50% · Brier 0.010

ETH/USD forecast history

How these forecasts work