Demo data

AI forecasts. Market expectations. A track record you can inspect.

Compare probability estimates for crypto and currency pairs on a specific future date.

Selected: BTC/USD — US dollars per bitcoin

Price at the target date, not before it

Movement threshold

Default for crypto: 10% · currency pairs: 1%

/crypto/btc-usd/forecast/2026-12-31/#threshold=10

Featured forecasts

Each forecast is about the price at one moment on the target date, not whether a level is reached beforehand. Probability estimates, not guarantees.Price at the target date, not whether a level is reached beforehand.

How it works

  1. 1

    Pick a pair and a date

    Every forecast is about the price at one moment on a named date, such as 31 Dec 2026 at 23:59 UTC.Each forecast covers one moment on a named date.

  2. 2

    Compare estimates and evidence

    OpenAI and Claude side by side, a statistical reference, and prediction markets only when a contract actually matches.Two models, a statistical reference, and markets only when they match.

  3. 3

    Inspect what happened

    After the target date, the original forecast stays on its page beside the outcome and its score.The original forecast stays next to its outcome and score.

Track record

Collecting live forecast history · 8 settled

8 forecasts have settled so far — far too few to judge skill. Scores are on the track record page.

See the track record and how it is scored

Sources and method

  • Model estimates from OpenAI and Anthropic (Claude)
  • Crypto reference prices from [price provider]; currency rates from the ECB
  • Prediction-market contracts, used only when they match the event

Model estimates from OpenAI and Anthropic (Claude), crypto prices from [price provider], currency rates from the ECB, and prediction markets only when they match.

Methodology and data sources