Demo data

EUR/GBP exchange rate forecast

EUR/GBP — pounds per euro

Probability estimates for where the EUR/GBP rate will be on specific future dates, from two AI models, a statistical reference and matching prediction markets where they exist.

Reference rate
0.8820 pounds per euro
Observed
ECB rate, 30 Oct
Latest forecasts published
31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

Choose a target date

Every preset is a month-end date. The date shown is the one the forecast is about.

AI average — uncalibrated · ±1% · ±5% · ±10% · ±50%

Price on 31 Jan 2027

Fresh
Movement threshold
1% — see every threshold 5% — see every threshold 10% — see every threshold 50% — see every threshold
Down 1% or more
35%
0.8732 or lower
Between ±1%
21%
0.8732 to 0.8908
Up 1% or more
44%
0.8908 or higher

Down 35%, within 21%, up 44%.

Down 5% or more
8%
0.8379 or lower
Between ±5%
80%
0.8379 to 0.9261
Up 5% or more
12%
0.9261 or higher

Down 8%, within 80%, up 12%.

Down 10% or more
1%
0.7938 or lower
Between ±10%
98%
0.7938 to 0.9702
Up 10% or more
1%
0.9702 or higher

Down 1%, within 98%, up 1%.

Down 50% or more
<0.1%
0.4410 or lower
Between ±50%
>99.9%
0.4410 to 1.3230
Up 50% or more
<0.1%
1.3230 or higher

Down <0.1%, within >99.9%, up <0.1%.

Default threshold ±1% for currency pairs. The forecast page has all four thresholds, source comparison and evidence.

Open the forecast for 31 Jan 2027

/forex/eur-gbp/forecast/2027-01-31/

All four thresholds · 31 Jan 2027 · AI average
ThresholdDownWithinUp
±1% 35% 21% 44%
±5% 8% 80% 12%
±10% 1% 98% 1%
±50% <0.1% >99.9% <0.1%

Published forecast dates

Each date has its own page and address. Shown at ±1%±5%±10%±50%.

  • End of next month

    30 Nov 2026

    Down 31% · Within 36% · Up 33%

    Down 31%, within 36%, up 33%.

    Down 2% · Within 96% · Up 2%

    Down 2%, within 96%, up 2%.

    Down <0.1% · Within 99.9% · Up 0.1%

    Down <0.1%, within 99.9%, up 0.1%.

    Down <0.1% · Within 100.0% · Up 0.0%

    Down <0.1%, within 100.0%, up 0.0%.

    Published 31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

  • End of year

    31 Dec 2026

    Down 41% · Within 26% · Up 33%

    Down 41%, within 26%, up 33%.

    Down 7% · Within 88% · Up 5%

    Down 7%, within 88%, up 5%.

    Down 0.4% · Within 99.2% · Up 0.4%

    Down 0.4%, within 99.2%, up 0.4%.

    Down <0.1% · Within >99.9% · Up <0.1%

    Down <0.1%, within >99.9%, up <0.1%.

    Published 31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

  • 3 months (month-end)

    31 Jan 2027

    Down 35% · Within 21% · Up 44%

    Down 35%, within 21%, up 44%.

    Down 8% · Within 80% · Up 12%

    Down 8%, within 80%, up 12%.

    Down 1% · Within 98% · Up 1%

    Down 1%, within 98%, up 1%.

    Down <0.1% · Within >99.9% · Up <0.1%

    Down <0.1%, within >99.9%, up <0.1%.

    Published 31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

  • 6 months (month-end)

    30 Apr 2027

    Down 39% · Within 15% · Up 46%

    Down 39%, within 15%, up 46%.

    Down 15% · Within 65% · Up 20%

    Down 15%, within 65%, up 20%.

    Down 3% · Within 92% · Up 5%

    Down 3%, within 92%, up 5%.

    Down <0.1% · Within >99.9% · Up <0.1%

    Down <0.1%, within >99.9%, up <0.1%.

    Published 31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

End of this month · 31 Oct 2026 — not published: no new ecb fixing before this date.

12 months (month-end) · 31 Oct 2027 — scheduled, not yet generated.

What the models cite for EUR/GBP

Recurring drivers across the published dates. Each forecast page lists its own cited evidence.

  • Risk sentiment Model inference

    Points higher · cited for all 4 dates. Sources 3

  • Rate differential Model inference

    Points lower · cited for all 4 dates. Sources 1

Source coverage

What is available for EUR/GBP right now.

Source coverage for EUR/GBP
SourceStatusNotes
OpenAI Fresh All 4 dates
Claude Fresh All 4 dates
Statistical reference Fresh Synthetic fixture in this prototype
Prediction markets No matching market No exact or related contract for any date

Recent settled forecasts

Limited history

No EUR/GBP forecast has reached its target date yet. The first target is 30 Nov 2026.

EUR/GBP forecast history

How these forecasts work