Demo data

USD/JPY exchange rate forecast

USD/JPY — Japanese yen per US dollar

Probability estimates for where the USD/JPY rate will be on specific future dates, from two AI models, a statistical reference and matching prediction markets where they exist.

Reference rate
152.40 Japanese yen per US dollar
Observed
ECB rate, 30 Oct
Latest forecasts published
31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

Choose a target date

Every preset is a month-end date. The date shown is the one the forecast is about.

AI average — uncalibrated · ±1% · ±5% · ±10% · ±50%

Price on 31 Jan 2027

Fresh
Movement threshold
1% — see every threshold 5% — see every threshold 10% — see every threshold 50% — see every threshold
Down 1% or more
49%
150.87 or lower
Between ±1%
13%
150.87 to 153.92
Up 1% or more
38%
153.92 or higher

Down 49%, within 13%, up 38%.

Down 5% or more
24%
144.78 or lower
Between ±5%
58%
144.78 to 160.02
Up 5% or more
18%
160.02 or higher

Down 24%, within 58%, up 18%.

Down 10% or more
7%
137.16 or lower
Between ±10%
87%
137.16 to 167.64
Up 10% or more
6%
167.64 or higher

Down 7%, within 87%, up 6%.

Down 50% or more
<0.1%
76.20 or lower
Between ±50%
>99.9%
76.20 to 228.59
Up 50% or more
<0.1%
228.59 or higher

Down <0.1%, within >99.9%, up <0.1%.

Default threshold ±1% for currency pairs. The forecast page has all four thresholds, source comparison and evidence.

Open the forecast for 31 Jan 2027

/forex/usd-jpy/forecast/2027-01-31/

All four thresholds · 31 Jan 2027 · AI average
ThresholdDownWithinUp
±1% 49% 13% 38%
±5% 24% 58% 18%
±10% 7% 87% 6%
±50% <0.1% >99.9% <0.1%

Published forecast dates

Each date has its own page and address. Shown at ±1%±5%±10%±50%.

  • End of next month

    30 Nov 2026

    Down 40% · Within 22% · Up 38%

    Down 40%, within 22%, up 38%.

    Down 9% · Within 82% · Up 9%

    Down 9%, within 82%, up 9%.

    Down 1% · Within 98% · Up 1%

    Down 1%, within 98%, up 1%.

    Down <0.1% · Within >99.9% · Up <0.1%

    Down <0.1%, within >99.9%, up <0.1%.

    Published 31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

  • End of year

    31 Dec 2026

    Down 37% · Within 16% · Up 47%

    Down 37%, within 16%, up 47%.

    Down 13% · Within 67% · Up 20%

    Down 13%, within 67%, up 20%.

    Down 2% · Within 93% · Up 5%

    Down 2%, within 93%, up 5%.

    Down <0.1% · Within >99.9% · Up <0.1%

    Down <0.1%, within >99.9%, up <0.1%.

    Published 31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

  • 3 months (month-end)

    31 Jan 2027

    Down 49% · Within 13% · Up 38%

    Down 49%, within 13%, up 38%.

    Down 24% · Within 58% · Up 18%

    Down 24%, within 58%, up 18%.

    Down 7% · Within 87% · Up 6%

    Down 7%, within 87%, up 6%.

    Down <0.1% · Within >99.9% · Up <0.1%

    Down <0.1%, within >99.9%, up <0.1%.

    Published 31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

  • 6 months (month-end)

    30 Apr 2027

    Down 48% · Within 9% · Up 43%

    Down 48%, within 9%, up 43%.

    Down 30% · Within 43% · Up 27%

    Down 30%, within 43%, up 27%.

    Down 13% · Within 74% · Up 13%

    Down 13%, within 74%, up 13%.

    Down <0.1% · Within >99.9% · Up <0.1%

    Down <0.1%, within >99.9%, up <0.1%.

    Published 31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

End of this month · 31 Oct 2026 — not published: no new ecb fixing before this date.

12 months (month-end) · 31 Oct 2027 — scheduled, not yet generated.

What the models cite for USD/JPY

Recurring drivers across the published dates. Each forecast page lists its own cited evidence.

  • Risk sentiment Model inference

    Points higher · cited for all 4 dates. Sources 3

  • Rate differential Model inference

    Points lower · cited for all 4 dates. Sources 1

Source coverage

What is available for USD/JPY right now.

Source coverage for USD/JPY
SourceStatusNotes
OpenAI Fresh All 4 dates
Claude Fresh All 4 dates
Statistical reference Fresh Synthetic fixture in this prototype
Prediction markets No matching market No exact or related contract for any date

Recent settled forecasts

Limited history

No USD/JPY forecast has reached its target date yet. The first target is 30 Nov 2026.

USD/JPY forecast history

How these forecasts work