Demo data

GBP/USD exchange rate forecast

GBP/USD — US dollars per pound

Probability estimates for where the GBP/USD rate will be on specific future dates, from two AI models, a statistical reference and matching prediction markets where they exist.

Reference rate
1.3152 US dollars per pound
Observed
ECB rate, 30 Oct
Latest forecasts published
31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

Choose a target date

Every preset is a month-end date. The date shown is the one the forecast is about.

AI average — uncalibrated · ±1% · ±5% · ±10% · ±50%

Price on 31 Jan 2027

Fresh
Movement threshold
1% — see every threshold 5% — see every threshold 10% — see every threshold 50% — see every threshold
Down 1% or more
38%
1.3020 or lower
Between ±1%
16%
1.3020 to 1.3283
Up 1% or more
46%
1.3283 or higher

Down 38%, within 16%, up 46%.

Down 5% or more
13%
1.2494 or lower
Between ±5%
68%
1.2494 to 1.3810
Up 5% or more
19%
1.3810 or higher

Down 13%, within 68%, up 19%.

Down 10% or more
2%
1.1837 or lower
Between ±10%
93%
1.1837 to 1.4467
Up 10% or more
5%
1.4467 or higher

Down 2%, within 93%, up 5%.

Down 50% or more
<0.1%
0.6576 or lower
Between ±50%
>99.9%
0.6576 to 1.9728
Up 50% or more
<0.1%
1.9728 or higher

Down <0.1%, within >99.9%, up <0.1%.

Default threshold ±1% for currency pairs. The forecast page has all four thresholds, source comparison and evidence.

Open the forecast for 31 Jan 2027

/forex/gbp-usd/forecast/2027-01-31/

All four thresholds · 31 Jan 2027 · AI average
ThresholdDownWithinUp
±1% 38% 16% 46%
±5% 13% 68% 19%
±10% 2% 93% 5%
±50% <0.1% >99.9% <0.1%

Published forecast dates

Each date has its own page and address. Shown at ±1%±5%±10%±50%.

  • End of next month

    30 Nov 2026

    Down 32% · Within 27% · Up 41%

    Down 32%, within 27%, up 41%.

    Down 4% · Within 89% · Up 7%

    Down 4%, within 89%, up 7%.

    Down 0.1% · Within 99.4% · Up 0.5%

    Down 0.1%, within 99.4%, up 0.5%.

    Down <0.1% · Within 100.0% · Up 0.0%

    Down <0.1%, within 100.0%, up 0.0%.

    Published 31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

  • End of year

    31 Dec 2026

    Down 45% · Within 20% · Up 35%

    Down 45%, within 20%, up 35%.

    Down 13% · Within 77% · Up 10%

    Down 13%, within 77%, up 10%.

    Down 2% · Within 97% · Up 1%

    Down 2%, within 97%, up 1%.

    Down <0.1% · Within >99.9% · Up <0.1%

    Down <0.1%, within >99.9%, up <0.1%.

    Published 31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

  • 3 months (month-end)

    31 Jan 2027

    Down 38% · Within 16% · Up 46%

    Down 38%, within 16%, up 46%.

    Down 13% · Within 68% · Up 19%

    Down 13%, within 68%, up 19%.

    Down 2% · Within 93% · Up 5%

    Down 2%, within 93%, up 5%.

    Down <0.1% · Within >99.9% · Up <0.1%

    Down <0.1%, within >99.9%, up <0.1%.

    Published 31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

  • 6 months (month-end)

    30 Apr 2027

    Down 45% · Within 11% · Up 44%

    Down 45%, within 11%, up 44%.

    Down 24% · Within 53% · Up 23%

    Down 24%, within 53%, up 23%.

    Down 8% · Within 83% · Up 9%

    Down 8%, within 83%, up 9%.

    Down <0.1% · Within >99.9% · Up <0.1%

    Down <0.1%, within >99.9%, up <0.1%.

    Published 31 Oct 2026, 06:12 UTC

End of this month · 31 Oct 2026 — not published: no new ecb fixing before this date.

12 months (month-end) · 31 Oct 2027 — scheduled, not yet generated.

What the models cite for GBP/USD

Recurring drivers across the published dates. Each forecast page lists its own cited evidence.

  • Risk sentiment Model inference

    Points higher · cited for all 4 dates. Sources 3

  • Rate differential Model inference

    Points lower · cited for all 4 dates. Sources 1

Source coverage

What is available for GBP/USD right now.

Source coverage for GBP/USD
SourceStatusNotes
OpenAI Fresh All 4 dates
Claude Fresh All 4 dates
Statistical reference Fresh Synthetic fixture in this prototype
Prediction markets No matching market No exact or related contract for any date

Recent settled forecasts

Limited history

No GBP/USD forecast has reached its target date yet. The first target is 30 Nov 2026.

GBP/USD forecast history

How these forecasts work